Now that we have our LID, estimating our wait time until we are matched to a baby has gotten just the tiniest bit easier. For those who don't know, the Chinese match by Log In Date (LID), which is basically your place holder in line. A very slow moving line. They "match" as many parents within a certain number of LIDs as they can based on the number of available babies. If they matched 30 days worth of LIDs per month, the wait time would be what it is now: 19 months. But, they have been matching only about 6 days a month lately, so it doesn't take a math genius to figure out that we're in for a long wait. Most agencies are estimating a 3 year wait for those of us with July 2007 LIDS.
I'll be looking at the data each month while we wait. As much as I love crunching numbers...this data set is down right depressing. So, here is the July 2007 wait time update.
Latest referral batch: up to LID 11/14/2005
Days in between our LID and the latest matched: 595
Estimated wait time: 6.2 to 7.8 years
Estimated referral date: 9/13/2013 to 5/1/2015
OK, so that seems a bit long, right?? I've read that the Chinese are saying that the current referral trends (6 days!) is temporary and they will go back to 15 days per month in January (still, we'd be in for a 29 month wait if that's true). After they have reached the May 2007 people, things should speed up, as the new guidelines will cut approximately 40% of the eligible parents. However, unless they get more babies available for international adoption (or a bunch of parents decided to step out of the line), things aren't going to be speeding up much until then.
That's my bummer of an update. I hope I can report better news next month...
1 comments:
Congratulations on your LID, I hope all the parents ahead of you get impatient and decide to adopt from another country. I know that you are all working so hard for this. Just think, one day you will have her in your arms! Don't squeeze too tight!
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